Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State University · 2025 · Conference USA
Jacksonville State went 9-5 and was ranked 83rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 96th-ranked defense carried them, with an 119th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 75th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with an 115th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ UCF | Big 12 | #82 | L 10–17 | -12.5 | 0% | -7.4 | Q3 |
| 2 | vs Liberty | Conference USA | #115 | W 34–24 | +1.4 | 100% | -1.7 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | #87 | L 34–41 | -2.7 | 0% | -16.1 | Q4 |
| 4 | vs Murray State | MVFC | — | W 45–10 | +24.6 | 100% | -9.5 | Q4 |
| 5 | @ Southern Miss | Sun Belt | #95 | L 25–42 | -3.3 | 0% | -31.6 | Q4 |
| 7 | vs Sam Houston | Conference USA | #133 | W 29–27 | +15.1 | 100% | -25.9 | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Delaware | Conference USA | #98 | W 38–25 | +6.4 | 100% | 1.8 | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | #129 | W 24–21 | +5.7 | 100% | -14.1 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ UTEP | Conference USA | #132 | W 30–27 | +5.1 | 100% | -13.2 | Q4 |
| 12 | vs Kennesaw State | Conference USA | #61 | W 35–26 | -2.2 | 100% | -1.6 | Q4 |
| 13 | @ FIU | Conference USA | #89 | L 21–27 | -2.3 | 0% | -15.4 | Q4 |
| 14 | vs Western Kentucky | Conference USA | #68 | W 37–34 | -3.0 | 100% | -7.2 | Q4 |
| 15 | vs Kennesaw State | Conference USA | #61 | L 15–19 | -2.2 | 0% | -16.3 | Q4 |
| Postseason | ||||||||
| — | vs Troy | Sun Belt | #80 | W 17–13 | -2.5 | 100% | -5.6 | Q4 |
14 played · 9-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Jacksonville State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 104th · Finishing 114th
Field position 102nd · Finishing 91st
2.22 points per drive on offense, 1.87 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(232) | 34% / 66% | 49% | 6.1 |
| Q2(250) | 43% / 57% | 43% | 5.9 |
| Q3(216) | 34% / 66% | 42% | 6.0 |
| Q4(247) | 33% / 67% | 45% | 6.0 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(128) | 10.4 | 45% | 7.5 |
| 2nd(103) | 8.5 | 48% | 6.7 |
| 3rd(107) | 8.2 | 26% | 4.9 |
| 4th(5) | 9.2 | 0% | 0.0 |
| All (343) | — | 39% | 6.4 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(289) | 10.0 | 47% | 6.1 |
| 2nd(204) | 7.3 | 42% | 5.1 |
| 3rd(85) | 5.3 | 58% | 7.0 |
| 4th(24) | 2.0 | 67% | 4.3 |
| All (602) | — | 48% | 5.8 |
Jacksonville State, all games.